Before The Storm: The Assessment of Conflict Ridden Risk Countries

Conflict analysis 1Conflict assessment, also known as Conflict analysis, is an early stage of facilitating the peaceful end of a retribution in which parties attempt to gain a deeper understanding of the dynamics in their relationship. When a method used to achieve an end results comes with disagreements and inequality arises towards a direction, the opposing sides are subject to conflict. When going through assessment it is important to understand the causes of such disagreement in order to reach a solution. Environmental conflict analysis is also one of the subsets of conflict analysis. The conflict scale can either be a macro, referring to a larger scale conflict or a micro which refers to a smaller conflict. Consequently problems always arise in conflict assessment and countries such as Africa and the Middle- east need continual risk assessment to know whether they are going to be a problem for Europe and North America among other western countries.

These countries need conflict assessment and problems are going to rise between them. It is believed by many that colonialism has effected greatly the developments in African countries. According to analysis by Leander Heldring of Tilburg University, the development across the African continent has been slowed down by the colonial rule where those people who inhibited the continent were taken though extreme experience. He further says that despite this, it has not however stopped them from developments even at the small and steady space.

The Middle East has a role to play to when it comes to conflict assessment because sooner or later differences may arise between them and some of the western countries. According to the author of the Worlds of War, Anthony Pagden, he mentions a theory by Samuel Huntingtone that talks about differences in civilizations that divided Islam and Christianity. After the terror attacks in September of 2001, this theory was denounced largely in the 90’s, but later on gained fame after the 9/11 attack has further grounded to theory by premise alone. The author of the book further states that Huntington claimed conflict between the East and the West was reckoned by the lslamic extremist community. He the expounds that even with the end of Cold War, lslam will again threaten the Christian West, continuing its 1400-year struggle, and despite the fact that Islam has never been a threat to Christian ethics (keep in mind the fight against Islam in medieval times starting in 1096 and lasting through the next 200 years- yea right, Islam is always the threat...). Pagden also discusses deeply what caused the conflict in the Greek defeat of the Persians, as well as two Persian invasions and also how Greek under Alexander the Great, who succeeded in conquering Persian Empire and occupying its territories, responded.

Over time this conflict developed to contain the rest of Europe as the entire Mediterranean world was dominated by the Romans. Pagden noted that the West won and the East lost due to the form of government of each side. History tales aside, Pagden was obviously anti-Muslim and heavily pro-Mason with his heavy hitting emphasis on ‘Enlightenment’- and xenophobic as they get. His long winded books often cite ungrounded ancient history stories as fact and he expects you to buy his rubbish. Talk about a real risk assessment who is helping spread this kind of paranoia.

That war might have been over they say, but if you deeply open your eyes, it is still not over and conflict assessment comes in handy because some wars are not expected to end anytime. African and the Middle-east countries therefore need serious and continual risk assessment towards western countries such as Europe and North America. One question we must ask ourselves to is weather these countries doing conflict analysis has shared sense of the challenges. Are they political stability, threat of Islam, extremism, lack of political voice, economic inequality, the right of regimes to forcibly suppress challenges to their authority or something else? How different would be the answer if the questions were inquires two months ago. You may find that little has been done and more has to be implemented to move forward with assessment of conflict in these risk ridden countries before an even bigger “storm” occurs. Conflict assessment and solution is important between individuals, regions and countries.